The Office of the Chief Economist (OCE) publishes research findings from its team of economists and their collaborators in peer-reviewed economic journals and in law journals.
The artificial intelligence patent dataset (AIPD) 2023 update
Nicholas A. Pairolero, Alexander V. Giczy, Gerard Torres, Tisa Islam Erana, Mark A. Finlayson, and Andrew A. Toole
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Competitive dynamism in nascent markets: trademarks and superstar firm entry in the metaverse
Wendy A. Bradley and Julian Kolev
Industry and Innovation, 1-41, November 2024
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Procrastination or incomplete data? An analysis of USPTO examiner search activity
Charles A.W. de Grazia, Alexander V. Giczy, and Nicholas A. Pairolero
Research Policy, Volume 53, Issue 7, September 2024
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Patent eligibility after Alice: Evidence from USPTO patent examination
Jesse Frumkin, Nicholas A. Pairolero, Asrat Tesfayesus, and Andrew A. Toole
Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, 1–22.
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Discovering value: women’s participation in university and commercial AI invention
Alexander V. Giczy, Nicholas A. Pairolero, and Andrew A. Toole
Nature Biotechnology, Volume 42, January 2024, pg. 26-29
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Listen to AUTM on the Air podcast ("Behind the Numbers: Insights from U.S. Patenting on Diagnosing COVID-19")
More can be done to diversify the AI innovation ecosystem, especially in the emerging field of biotechnology AI, where women’s participation is associated with substantial value.
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How does digital piracy affect innovation? Evidence from software firms
Wendy A. Bradley and Julian Kolev
Research Policy, Volume 52, Issue 3, April 2023
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Closing the Gender Gap in Patenting: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial at the USPTO
Nicholas A. Pairolero, Andrew A. Toole, Peter-Anthony Pappas, Charles A.W. deGrazia, Mike H.M. Teodorescu
Academy of Management Proceedings , vol 2022, no 1, July 2022
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Challenges facing independent inventors: Do patents help?
Charles A.W. deGrazia, Nicholas A. Pairolero, Peter-Anthony Pappas, Andrew A. Toole, Mike H.M. Teodorescu
Academy of Management Proceedings, vol 2022, no 1, July 2022
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Identifying artificial intelligence (AI) invention: A novel AI patent dataset
Alexander V. Giczy, Nicholas A. Pairolero, and Andrew Toole
The Journal of Technology Transfer, 2021
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Abstract
Examination incentives, learning, and patent office outcomes: The use of examiner’s amendments at the USPTO
Charles A.W. deGrazia, Nicholas A. Pairolero, and Mike H.M. Teodorescu
Research Policy, vol 50, issue 10, December 2021
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Abstract
The Promise of Machine Learning for Patent Landscaping
Andrew A. Toole, Nicholas A. Pairolero, James Q. Forman, and Alexander V. Giczy
Santa Clara High Technology Law Journal, vol 36, no 4, May 2020
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Innovation activities and business cycles: are trademarks a leading indicator?
Charles A. W. deGrazia, Amanda Myers, and Andrew A. Toole
Industry and Innovation, vol 27, issue 1-2, 2020
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Despite the widespread use of economic information to anticipate changes in business conditions, innovation metrics are not considered to be leading indicators. We argue that aggregate trademark data reflect firm-level choices that can help predict business cycles. In addition to establishing the conceptual basis for considering trademarks, our statistical evaluations, using turning point analysis and a novel machine learning method, find that trademark filings for product and service offerings in commercial use outperform many of the conventional leading indicators. Our work suggests that including trademark metrics in composite indexes could improve recession forecasting performance.
Previous journal articles
2019
The Dynamic Relationship Between Investments in Brand Equity and Firm Profitability: Evidence Using Trademark Registrations
Dirk Crass, Dirk Czarnitzki, and Andrew A. Toole
International Journal of the Economics of Business, vol 26, no 1, March 2019
2019 Best Paper Prize from the International Journal of the Economics of Business
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Shorter Patent Pendency Without Sacrificing Quality: The Use of Examiner’s Amendments at the USPTO
Charles deGrazia, Nicholas Pairolero, and Mike Teodorescu
Academy of Management Proceedings, vol 2019, no 1, August 2019
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Patent Examination Quality and Litigation: Is There a Link?
Alan C. Marco and Richard D. Miller
International Journal of the Economics of Business, vol 26, no 1, February 2019
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Embracing Invention Similarity for the Measurement of Vertically Overlapping Claims
Charles A. W. deGrazia, Jesse P. Frumkin and Nicholas A. Pairolero
Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 2019
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2011-2018
Patent transactions in the marketplace: Lessons from the USPTO Patent Assignment Dataset
Journal of Economics & Management Strategy
Special Issue: Innovation Economics III: Patents, Trademarks, and Technology Standards Dataset
Volume 27, Issue 3, Fall 2018, Pages 343-371
Stuart J. H. Graham, Alan C. Marco, and Amanda F. Myers
Research-ready dataset of patent assignments and other transactions recorded with the USPTO creates new opportunities for original research, particularly relating to patent collateralization and the markets for technology and innovation.
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Business dynamics of innovating firms: Linking U.S. patents with administrative data on workers and firms
Journal of Economics & Management Strategy
Special Issue: Innovation Economics III: Patents, Trademarks, and Technology Standards Dataset
Volume 27, Issue 3, Fall 2018, Pages 372-402
Stuart J. H. Graham, Cheryl Grim, Tariqul Islam, Alan C. Marco, and Javier Miranda
Patenting firms, particularly young patenting firms, disproportionally contribute jobs to the U.S. economy, based on analysis of a new longitudinal database on inventors and patent‐owning firms.
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Monetizing marks: Insights from the USPTO Trademark Assignment Dataset
Journal of Economics & Management Strategy
Special Issue: Innovation Economics III: Patents, Trademarks, and Technology Standards Dataset
Volume 27, Issue 3, Fall 2018, Pages 403-432
Stuart J. H. Graham, Alan C. Marco, and Amanda F. Myers
Research-ready dataset of trademark assignments and other transactions recorded with the USPTO opens new avenues for research on the market for brands and trademark collateralization.
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The USPTO Patent Examination Research Dataset: A window on patent processing
Journal of Economics & Management Strategy
Special Issue: Innovation Economics III: Patents, Trademarks, and Technology Standards Dataset
Volume 27, Issue 3, Fall 2018, Pages 554-578
Stuart J.H. Graham, Alan C. Marco, and Richard Miller
Research-ready dataset of patent application prosecution records enables original and in-depth empirical research on the process of obtaining a patent from the USPTO.
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The Law and Economics of Concealing Health and Safety Information
Daniel E. Ingberman and Asrat Tesfayesus
Journal of Law, Economics, & Policy, Volume 13, Number 2, Spring 2017, Pages 181
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Liberalization Agreement in the GATT/WTO and the Terms-of-trade Externality Theory: Evidence from Three Developing Countries
Asrat Tesfayesus
Review of International Economics, Volume 24, Issue 5, November 2016, Pages 1000-1022
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Knowledge Creates Markets: The influence of entrepreneurial support and patent rights on academic entrepreneurship
Dirk Czarnitzki, Thorsten Doherr, Katrin Hussinger, Paula Schliessler, and Andrew A. Toole
European Economic Review, Volume 86, July 2016, Pages 131–146
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More than BRIC-a-Brac: Testing Chinese Exceptionalism in Patenting Behavior Using Comparative Empirical Analysis
Jay Kesan, Alan Marco, and Richard Miller
Michigan Telecommunications and Technology Law Review, Volume 22, No. 53, 2015
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What is the Probability of Receiving a US Patent?
Michael Carley, Deepak Hegde, and Alan Marco
The Yale Journal of Law & Technology, Volume 17, 2015, Pages 203-223
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Using the Classroom to Bring Big Data to Statistical Agencies
Ron Jarmin, Julia Lane, and Alan Marco, with Ian Foster
AMSTATNEWS, The Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association, 1 November 2014
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The USPTO economics research agenda
Stuart Graham and Galen Hancock
The Journal of Technology Transfer, June 2014, Volume 39, Issue 3, pp 335-344
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The USPTO Trademark Case Files Dataset: Descriptions, Lessons, and Insights
Stuart Graham, Galen Hancock, Alan Marco, and Amanda Fila Myers
Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, Volume 22, Issue 4, Winter 2013, Pages 669-705.
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Of Smart Phone Wars and Software Patents
Stuart Graham and Saurabh Vishnubhakat
Journal of Economic Perspectives, Volume 27, Number 1, Winter 2012, Pages 67-86.
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The Case for Standard Measures of Patent Quality
David J. Kappos and Stuart Graham
MIT Sloan Management Review, Volume 53, Issue 3, Spring 2012.
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